Lợi nhuận sau thuế TOP20 ngân hàng niêm yết và UPCOM đạt 35,806 tỷ đồng, tăng 38.2% cùng kỳ

by finandlife07/08/2021 16:45

TOP20 ngân hàng đang niêm yết và đăng ký giao dịch có kết quả kinh doanh quý 2 ấn tượng, tổng lợi nhuận sau thuế đạt 35,806 tỷ đồng, tăng 38.2% so với cùng kỳ. Tổng dư nợ cho vay đạt 6,692,123,000,000,000 đồng, tăng 17.8% so với cùng kỳ.

Xu hướng giảm chi phí hoạt động và tăng hiệu quả vẫn được duy trì, tổng chi phí hoạt động chỉ còn chiếm 34.6% thu nhập hoạt động, mức thấp kỷ lục. Cùng với đó, ROE liên tục cải thiện, đạt  mức 17.7%, mức cao kỷ lục.

So với cách ngành nghề khác, ngân hàng thương mại dường như là một trong những lĩnh vực kinh doanh hấp dẫn nhất Việt Nam hiện tại, ngoài khả năng tăng trưởng không cần bàn cãi, thì hiệu quả sinh lãi trên vốn chủ sở hữu đang quá cao so với trung bình. 


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Economics | Stocks


by finandlife06/08/2021 21:04

Giá Phốt Pho và DAP tiếp tục tăng mạnh trong quý 3, giúp củng cố định giá DGC.

“Doanh thu năm nay sẽ đạt trên 8.500 tỷ đồng và lợi nhuận sau thuế có thể đạt 1.500 tỷ đồng.”

Chủ tịch HĐQT

Đào Hữu Huyền 




Understanding China’s Recent Moves in Its Capital Markets

by finandlife04/08/2021 08:18

Published on July 31, 2021

Ray Dalio

Recent Chinese policy moves related to 1) DiDi’s listing and controls on its data usage and 2) China’s education companies being converted into non-profits have created a lot of doubt about capitalism and capital markets in China, so I’d like to help clarify what’s going on there.

I understand that it’s confusing to people who are not close to what’s happening. Since I started going to China 36 years ago, I have found that most Western observers who do not have direct contact with policy makers’ and don’t follow in detail the patterns of the changes have tended to not believe that the Chinese Communist Party’s usage of capital markets to foster development is real. They interpret moves like these two recent ones as the Communist Party leaders showing their true anti-capitalist stripes even though the trend over the last 40 years has clearly been so strongly toward developing a market economy with capital markets, with entrepreneurs and capitalists becoming rich. As a result, they’ve missed out on what’s going on in China and probably will continue to miss out. In this case the policy makers signaled to DiDi that it might not be best to go ahead with the listing and they understandably want to deal with the data privacy issue. In the case of the educational tutoring companies they want to reduce the educational inequality and the financial burden on those who are desperate to have their children have these services but can’t afford them by making them broadly available. They believe that these things are better for the country even if the shareholders don’t like it. 

I remember a number of such analogous misinterpretations. For example, I remember how the Chinese retail investor bubble bursting led to government stock buying and then the government trying to manipulate the market for a while. Also I remember the Chinese currency plunge in 2015-16 resulting from the PBoC widening the band and how that led to many investors pointing to these developments as evidence that policy makers were turning away from developing capital markets. Some skeptical investors looked at these moves as inappropriate anti-free market interventions even though these same moves happened many times in many capitalist markets and even though the fiscal and monetary policy interventions in the U.S. and other developed markets dwarf the Chinese government interventions in its markets. Through it all Chinese policy makers successfully managed the fallout and pursued their goals; i.e., the direction of their actions never changed. It has been in support of a fast and steady development of capital markets, entrepreneurship, and openness to investment to foreign investors. So I encourage you to look at the trends and not misunderstand and over-focus on the wiggles.

To understand what’s going on you need to understand that China is a state capitalist system which means that the state runs capitalism to serve the interests of most people and that policy makers won’t let the sensitivities of those in the capital markets and rich capitalists stand in the way of doing what they believe is best for the most people of the country. Rather, those in the capital markets and capitalists have to understand their subordinate places in the system or they will suffer the consequences of their mistakes. For example, they need to not mistake their having riches for having power for determining how things will go.

You also need to understand that in this rapidly developing capital markets environment Chinese regulators are figuring out appropriate regulations so, when they are changing fast and aren’t clear, that causes these sorts of confusions, which can be misconstrued to be anti-capitalist moves.

Also, you need to understand that the global geopolitical environment changing leads to some changes. You can see that reflected in the U.S. governments’ policy shifts such as a) changing its policies about Chinese companies’ listings in the United States and b) threats to prohibit American pension funds from investing in China.

Assume such things will happen in the future and invest accordingly. But don’t misinterpret these wiggles as changes in trends, and don’t expect this Chinese state-run capitalism to be exactly like Western capitalism.

Having said that, I do think that it is unfortunate that Chinese policy makers don’t publicly communicate the reasoning behind their moves more clearly.

As for investing, as I see it the American and Chinese systems and markets both have opportunities and risks and are likely to compete with each other and diversify each other. Hence they both should be considered as important parts of one’s portfolio. I urge you to not misinterpret these sorts of moves as reversals of the trends that have existed for the last several decades and let that scare you away.


Economics | StoriesofLife

Hóa chất cơ bản Miền Nam (HSX: CSV) quay lại chu kỳ tăng trưởng

by finandlife02/08/2021 16:13

Doanh thu quý 2/2021 đạt 402 tỷ đồng, tăng 18% so với cùng kỳ năm trước.

Lợi nhuận sau thuế quý 2/2021 đạt 57 tỷ đồng, tăng 10% so với cùng kỳ năm trước.

Tổng lợi nhuận sau thuế trượt 4 quý đạt 176 tỷ đồng, EPS đạt 3,971 đồng.

Cổ tức tiền mặt cao, 3600 đồng/cp mỗi năm trong 2017 và 2018; 2500 đồng năm 2019, và 2000 đồng cho năm 2020.

Giá hóa chất như NAOH VÀ H2SO4 đang tăng, kỳ vọng giúp CSV tiếp tục tăng trưởng trong thời gian tới.

Bảng cân đối kế toán lành mạnh, tiền ròng (tiền và tương đương tiền trừ nợ vay ngân hàng) đạt 152 tỷ đồng, nợ chỉ chiếm 17% tổng tài sản.

Giá trị hợp lý vốn chủ sở hữu khoảng 2,700 tỷ đồng, trong khi giá trị vốn hóa chỉ chưa tới 1,500 tỷ đồng.

Việt Nam đang trong giai đoạn tốt cho đầu tư vào ngành hóa chất cơ bản. CSV là doanh nghiệp tốt, nếu nhà nước thoái vốn sẽ là thương vụ hời cho các doanh nghiệp hóa chất lớn cùng ngành thâu tóm.


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by finandlife01/08/2021 08:59


Psychology | StoriesofLife


I am an Investment Manager at TOP 2 Securities Co., in Vietnam. I started working in investment field as a junior analyst at a Fund in 2007. I have more than 13 years of experience in investment analysis. I have a deep understanding of Vietnam macroeconomics, equity research, and seeking investment opportunities. Besides, I am a specialist in derivatives, ETF, and CW. This is my private Blog. I use this Blog to store information and share my personal views. I don't guarantee the certainty. And I am not responsible when the user uses the information from the Blog for trading/investing activities. If you have any questions, please feel free to contact me via email thuong.huynhngoc@gmail.com. 

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