Nợ margin tại sàn NYSE lên mức cao kỷ lục

by finandlife29/10/2013 08:51

S&P 500 (top), NYSE margin debt 12-month ROC (center), & NYSE margin debt (bottom)

Nhìn vào diễn biến lịch sử của 3 biểu đồ trên, chúng ta thấy rằng, dường như nợ margin và S&P500 có mối tương quan khá chặt chẽ. Mỗi khi nợ margin đạt đỉnh cao và giảm trở lại thì S&P500 cũng suy giảm sau đó.

Và không may, hiện nợ margin đang ở mức cao kỷ lục, và đó có thể là một tín hiệu dự báo thị trường chứng khoán sắp tới có thể sẽ rơi vào chu kỳ suy giảm (bearish)

 

Nguồn: finandlife|Barry Ritholtz

Tags:

Economics

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