by finandlife26/01/2024 13:02

"The snow goose need not bathe to make itself white. Neither need you do anything but be yourself." 

Lao Tzu



Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Hạ tầng Kỹ thuật (HSX: IJC) GIÁ TRỊ HỢP LÝ TĂNG TRỞ LẠI QUÝ ĐẦU SAU 2 NĂM LIÊN TIẾP SUY GIẢM

by finandlife25/01/2024 13:03




by finandlife08/01/2024 09:11

Theo báo chí trong nước, CTG công bố kết quả sơ bộ với những thông tin chính như sau:

- Tăng trưởng tín dụng năm 2023 là 15% so với mức tăng trưởng tín dụng 9 tháng đầu năm 2023 là 8,7%, so với dự báo cả năm của chúng tôi là ~13%

- Tăng trưởng huy động năm 2023E là 13,7% trong đó số dư CASA tăng 27%, hàm ý tỷ lệ CASA có thể rơi vào khoảng 22% so với dự báo cả năm của chúng tôi là 20,5%

- Tỷ lệ nợ xấu năm 2023E là 1,15% so với dự báo cả năm của chúng tôi là 1,40% với tỷ lệ bao phủ nợ (LLR) là 160% so với dự báo cả năm của chúng tôi là 170%

- LNTT 2023 không được công bố; tuy nhiên, ban lãnh đạo đã thông báo rằng ngân hàng đã hoàn thành mục tiêu về lợi nhuận của mình. CTG đặt mục tiêu LNTT riêng lẻ năm 2023 là 22,5 nghìn tỷ đồng (+10,6% YoY), ngụ ý LNTT hợp nhất năm 2023 là khoảng 23,3 nghìn tỷ đồng (+11,4% YoY,) so với dự báo LNTT hợp nhất cả năm của chúng tôi là 22,9 nghìn tỷ đồng (+9,2% YoY)

Nhìn chung, kết quả năm 2023 có vẻ tốt hơn chúng tôi dự đoán nhờ tỷ lệ nợ xấu thấp hơn dự kiến. Chúng tôi chờ báo cáo tài chính năm 2023 để có thêm thông tin về chi phí tín dụng và tỷ lệ xử lý nợ để đánh giá cụ thể hơn bức tranh lợi nhuận của ngân hàng.





2023 VN Index and Key Events

by finandlife04/01/2024 09:46



The rise of VietQR = The fall of VNPay, MOMO

by finandlife03/01/2024 08:52

Nguyen Duc Hung Linh

2 years ago, suggesting VietQR for money transfers was met with blank stares. Today, it's everywhere, from shopping malls to wet markets. The rapid popularity of VietQR is phenomenal, especially when compared to the hefty marketing budgets burned by fintech companies. 🤔 Why has VietQR become so popular so quickly?

1 Merchants prefer VietQR for its zero fees and instant money reception. In June 2021, NAPAS launched VietQR alongside NAPAS 247, a service enabling instant, real-time, and zero-fee money transfers between bank accounts. NAPAS 247 disrupts fee-based QR payment services offered by E-wallets or payment gateway companies like VNPay and MOMO.

2 Commercial banks also find VietQR beneficial; more merchant use means more Current Account and Savings Account (CASA) for banks 💰. Banks distribute printed QR codes for merchants, turning hundreds of thousands of bank employees into inadvertent VietQR promoters.

3 End consumers might feel indifferent initially, but more are leaning towards VietQR. Peer-to-peer money transfers through bank apps' QR code generation and scanning make transactions easier. People tend to stick to what they use more often.

What's the impact on the payment landscape?

1 As VietQR gains traction, the usage of VNPay or MOMO diminishes. Fintech giants are compelled to explore alternative strategies for customer retention and revenue generation. VNPay leverages unique features within commercial banks' apps, while other e-wallets strive to evolve into super apps. The path to profitability for these fintech companies has undoubtedly become more challenging. 

2 Here's a little-known impact: ↘ the sharp decline in cash circulation since 2021. It plummeted from over 11% to 8.5% by September 2023. To put it in perspective, it took a decade from 2011 to 2021 to reduce by roughly 1%. In contrast, the last two years saw a remarkable ~3% drop⏬. NAPAS had a clear mission statement: "to promote non-cash payment." Their journey was challenging but now the tide has turned. VietQR emerges as a pivotal player in this success story. 👑 🤔 What's VietQR? VietQR is a trademark for payment and money transfer using QR codes in Vietnam. VietQR belongs to NAPAS (National Payment Corporation of Vietnam). NAPAS is a unique entity, with 49% ownership vested in the State Bank of Vietnam (Vietnam’s central bank) and the remaining 51% distributed among 15 major commercial banks in Vietnam. Beyond Vietnam, VietQR works with a few foreign bank apps from Thailand and Cambodia. This lets Thai and Cambodian tourists use their bank apps to scan and pay in Vietnam using their own currencies. What are your thoughts on this digital revolution? 

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I am currently serving as an Investment Manager at Vietcap Securities JSC, leveraging 16 years of experience in investment analysis. My journey began as a junior analyst at a fund in 2007, allowing me to cultivate a profound understanding of Vietnam's macroeconomics, conduct meticulous equity research, and actively pursue lucrative investment opportunities. Furthermore, I hold the position of Head of Derivatives, equipped with extensive knowledge and expertise in derivatives, ETFs, and CWs.


To document my insights and share personal perspectives, I maintain a private blog where I store valuable information. However, it is essential to acknowledge that the content provided on my blog is solely based on my own opinions and does not carry a guarantee of certainty. Consequently, I cannot assume responsibility for any trading or investing activities carried out based on the information shared. Nonetheless, I wholeheartedly welcome any questions or inquiries you may have. You can contact me via email at thuong.huynhngoc@gmail.com.


Thank you for your understanding, and I eagerly anticipate engaging with you on topics concerning investments and finance.

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