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Economics

Warren Buffett on the impact of the surge of SPACs: ‘It’s a killer’

by finandlife03/05/2021 17:12

Source: Yahoo Finance, Link

Sun, May 2, 2021, 2:49 AM

At the annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholders meeting live streamed on Yahoo Finance, Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger address the surge of special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs).

BECKY QUICK: This question comes from Sam Butler who says he's been a shareholder for many years and asks, what impact does the rise of so many new SPACs have on Berkshire's ability to find and close new acquisitions?

WARREN BUFFETT: Well, it's a killer. The SPACs generally have to spend their money in two years, as I understand it. So they have to buy a business in two years. If you put a gun to my head and said, you've got to buy a big business in two years, you know, I'd buy one. But [CHUCKLES] it wouldn't be much of one.

You know, we look and look, and now there are, I don't know how many, whether it's hundreds. There's always been the pressure from private equity funds. I mean, if you're running money for somebody else, and you're getting paid a fee, and you get the upside, and you don't have the downside, you're gonna buy something.

I could tell you, but I had a very famous-- I had a call from a very famous figure many years ago that was involved in it and wanted to learn about reinsurance. And I said, well, I don't really think it's a very good business. And he said, yeah. He says if I don't spend this money in six months, I've got to give it back to the investors. So, you know, it's a different equation that you have if you're working with other people's money where you get the upside and you have to give it back to them if you don't do something. And frankly, we're not competitive with that, you know?

That won't go on forever, but it's where the money is now. And Wall Street goes where the money is. And it does anything, you know, basically that works. And SPACs have been working for a while, and you stick a famous name on it and you can sell almost anything. But it's an exaggerated version of what we've seen in kind of, well, a gambling done-type market.

In fact, I did have a quote from Keynes that we might put up on the-- let's see if I've got-- yeah, this is probably one of the most famous quotes in history because it really sums up the problem of the fact we've got the greatest markets the world could ever imagine. I mean, imagine being able to own parts of the biggest businesses in the world and putting billions of dollars in them and take it out, you know, two days later.

I mean, compared to farms or apartment houses or office buildings, where it takes months to close a deal, the markets offer a chance to participate and invest in earning assets on a basis that's very, very low cost and instantaneous, huge, all kinds of good things. But it makes its real money if they can get the gamblers to come in. Because they provide more action and they're willing to pay sillier fees and all kinds of things. So you have this incredible huge asset to humanity, but it really makes its money when people are doing stupid things. I mean, that's where the money really is.

And Keynes wrote this in 1936. It says 1939 on the slide, but he wrote it in 1936 in "The General Theory." That, you know, "Speculators may do no harm as bubbles on a steady stream of enterprise. But the position is serious one enterprise becomes the bubble on a whirlpool of speculation. When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done."

Well, the stock market, we've had a lot of people in the casino in the last year. You have millions and billions of people have set up accounts where they day trade, where they're selling puts and calls, where they-- I would say that you had the greatest increase in the number of gamblers, essentially. And, you know, there's nothing wrong with gambling. And they got better odds than they've got if they played the state lottery.

But they have cash in their pocket, they've had action, and they actually have a lot of good results. And if they'd just bought stocks, they'd do fine, and held them. But the gambling impulse is very strong and people worldwide. And occasionally, it gets an enormous shove and conditions lead to this place where more people are entering the casino than are leaving every day. And that creates its own reality for a while. And nobody tells you when the clock's going to strike 12:00 and it all turns to pumpkins and mice.

But when the competition is playing with other people's money or whether-- and if they're playing foolishly with their own money, but the big stuff is done with other people's money, they're gonna beat us. I mean, we're not-- that's a different game, and they've got a lot of money. So we're not gonna have much luck on acquisitions while this sort of a period continues. But it's happened before. This is about as extreme as we've seen it, isn't it Charlie?

CHARLIE MUNGER: Yes. Of course, I call it fee-driven buying. In other words, they're not buying because it's a good investment. They're buying it because the advisor gets a fee. And, of course, the more of that you get, the sillier your civilization is getting. And to some extent, it's a moral failing, too. Because the easy money made by things like SPACs and total return derivatives and so on and so on, you push that to excess, it causes horrible problems with a civilization. And it reflects no credit on the people who are doing it and no credit on the regulators and voters that allow it. So I think we have a lot to be ashamed of of the current conditions.

WARREN BUFFETT: But it's where the money is.

CHARLIE MUNGER: Yeah, but we still-- it's shameful what's going on. It's not just stupid, it's shameful.

WARREN BUFFETT: It's not-- I don't regard it as shameful on the people that gamble. I mean, gambling is a very human instinct. And they've got money in their pocket, and they know somebody else that's made money who they don't think is any smarter than they are--

CHARLIE MUNGER: No, no. I don't mind the poor fish that gamble. I don't like the professionals that take the suckers.

Tags:

Economics

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I am an Investment Manager at TOP 2 Securities Co., in Vietnam. I started working in investment field as a junior analyst at a Fund in 2007. I have more than 13 years of experience in investment analysis. I have a deep understanding of Vietnam macroeconomics, equity research, and seeking investment opportunities. Besides, I am a specialist in derivatives, ETF, and CW. This is my private Blog. I use this Blog to store information and share my personal views. I don't guarantee the certainty. And I am not responsible when the user uses the information from the Blog for trading/investing activities. If you have any questions, please feel free to contact me via email thuong.huynhngoc@gmail.com. 

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