GDP GROWTH 3.82% Q1 DUE TO CORONA VIRUS

by finandlife29/03/2020 17:17

GDP growth is lower than expectation, 3.82% comparing to 4.5% due to corona virus. This is the time to adjust every variable in the valuation model, especially earnings growth.

Bull case, upside of Vietnamese stock market is 20%

Base case, downside is 5%

Bear case, downside is 31%.

Despite the sharp decline in the last 2 months, scenario analysis still show risk which is higher than reward at this price.

FINANDLIFE

Tags:

Economics | Psychology

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I am currently serving as an Investment Manager at Vietcap Securities JSC, leveraging 16 years of experience in investment analysis. My journey began as a junior analyst at a fund in 2007, allowing me to cultivate a profound understanding of Vietnam's macroeconomics, conduct meticulous equity research, and actively pursue lucrative investment opportunities. Furthermore, I hold the position of Head of Derivatives, equipped with extensive knowledge and expertise in derivatives, ETFs, and CWs.

 

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